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Many centuries ago, the value of goods were
expressed in terms of other goods. This sort of
economics was based on the barter system between
individuals. The obvious limitations of such a
system encouraged establishing more generally
accepted mediums of exchange. It was important
that a common base of value could be
established. In some economies, items such as
teeth, feathers even stones served this purpose,
but soon various metals, in particular gold and
silver, established themselves as an accepted
means of payment as well as a reliable storage
of value. Coins were initially minted from the
preferred metal and in stable political regimes,
the introduction of a paper form of governmental
I.O.U. during the Middle Ages also gained
acceptance. This type of I.O.U. was introduced
more successfully through force than through
persuasion and is now the basis of today’s
modern currencies. Before the first World war,
most Central banks supported their currencies
with convertibility to gold. Paper money could
always be exchanged for gold. However, for this
type of gold exchange, there was not necessarily
a Centrals bank need for full coverage of the
government's currency reserves. This did not
occur very often, however when a group mindset
fostered this disastrous notion of converting
back to gold in mass, panic resulted in
so-called "Run on banks " The combination of a
greater supply of paper money without the gold
to cover led to devastating inflation and
resulting political instability.
In order to protect local national interests,
increased foreign exchange controls were
introduced to prevent market forces from
punishing monetary irresponsibility. Near the
end of WWII, The Bretton Woods agreement was
reached on the initiative of the USA in July
1944. The conference held in Bretton Woods, New
Hampshire rejected John Maynard Keynes
suggestion for a new world reserve currency in
favor of a system built on the US Dollar.
International institutions such as the IMF, The
World Bank and GATT were created in the same
period as the emerging victors of WWII searched
for a way to avoid the destabilizing monetary
crises leading to the war. The Bretton Woods
agreement resulted in a system of fixed exchange
rates that reinstated The Gold Standard partly,
fixing the US Dollar at 35.00 per ounce of Gold
and fixing the other main currencies to the
dollar, initially intended to be on a permanent
basis. The Bretton Woods system came under
increasing pressure as national economies moved
in different directions during the 1960’s. A
number of realignments held the system alive for
a long time but eventually Bretton Woods
collapsed in the early 1970’s following
president Nixon's suspension of the gold
convertibility in August 1971. The dollar was
not any longer suited as the sole international
currency at a time when it was under severe
pressure from increasing US budget and trade
deficits.
The last few decades have seen foreign exchange
trading develop into the worlds largest global
market. Restrictions on capital flows have been
removed in most countries, leaving the market
forces free to adjust foreign exchange rates
according to their perceived values. In Europe,
the idea of fixed exchange rates had by no means
died. The European Economic Community introduced
a new system of fixed exchange rates in 1979,
the European Monetary System. This attempt to
fix exchange rates met with near extinction in
1992-93, when built-up economic pressures forced
devaluations of a number of weak European
currencies. The quest continued in Europe for
currency stability with the 1991 signing of The
Maastricht treaty. This was to not only fix
exchange rates but also actually replace many of
them with the Euro in 2002. Today, Europe is
currently in the Euros third and final stage,
where exchange rates are fixed in the 12
participating Euro countries but still use their
existing currencies for commercial transactions.
The physical introduction of the Euro will be
between January 1, 2002 and July 1, 2002. At
that point the old countries currencies will be
obsolete. In Asia, the lack of sustainability of
fixed foreign exchange rates has gained new
relevance with the events in South East Asia in
the latter part of 1997, where currency after
currency was devalued against the US dollar,
leaving other fixed exchange rates in particular
in South America also looking very vulnerable.
While commercial companies have had to face a
much more volatile currency environment in
recent years, investors and financial
institutions have discovered a new playground.
The size of the FOREX market now dwarfs any
other investment market. It is estimated that
more than USD 1,600 Billion are traded every
day, that is the same amount as almost 40 times
the daily USD volume on the American NASDAQ
market. |